China’s Xi Visits Europe, Seeking Strategic Opportunity - The New York Times

The Nugget

  • Xi Jinping is visiting Europe to seek strategic opportunities and loosen the continent's bonds with the United States, forging a world less dominated by American influence. He has carefully chosen France, Serbia, and Hungary - countries that to varying degrees embrace Beijing's push for a new global order.

Make it stick

  • 🌍 China seeks to "loosen Europe's bonds with the US" and "forge a world freed of American dominance"
  • 🇫🇷 France's Macron wants "strategic autonomy" and to develop the EU as a "Europe power"
  • 🇷🇸 Serbia is a major Chinese trade partner and sees China as a counterweight to US power
  • 🇭🇺 Hungary's Orban has backed massive Chinese investment and diluted EU criticism of China

Key insights

China's strategic goals in Europe

  • Xi is visiting France, Serbia, and Hungary - countries that are skeptical of US dominance and eager to strengthen ties with China
  • China wants to demonstrate its growing influence in Europe and pursue a pragmatic rapprochement with the continent
  • This is seen as an effort by Xi to divide Western allies and loosen Europe's bonds with the US

Europe's balancing act

  • Europe is torn between the economic opportunities of China and the security/geopolitical risks
  • French President Macron wants "strategic autonomy" for Europe, not just being a "vassal of the US"
  • But frontline EU states like Poland are much more wary of China and committed to the US alliance

Macron's delicate diplomacy

  • Macron will try to enlist Xi's support for ending the war in Ukraine, but China has shown little willingness to pressure Russia
  • Macron sees France as a bridge between the "Global South" (inc. BRICS) and the West
  • He is wary of a potential return of Trump in the US, and wants to ensure Europe's relevance in the coming decades

Key quotes

  • "For Xi, being in Belgrade is a very economical way to ask if the United States is really serious about international law, and to say, how about NATO overreach as a problem for other countries?"
  • "The United States always views itself as the leader — or hegemon — of the world, so China is a competitor or adversary that is challenging its hegemony. The European Union does not have a hegemonic mind-set."
  • "Macron is trying to bring a third way in the current global chaos. He is trying to walk a fine line between the two main superpowers."
This summary contains AI-generated information and may have important inaccuracies or omissions.