The New Math of How Large-Scale Order Emerges | Quanta Magazine

The Nugget

  • Emergence in complex systems can now be understood using a new mathematical framework that describes how large-scale patterns arise from smaller parts by organizing themselves into hierarchically independent levels.

Make it stick

  • 🌀 The Great Red Spot on Jupiter is an example of emergent phenomena demonstrating large-scale order from micro-level interactions.
  • 💻 Computational closure shows that predicting a system at the macro level often doesn't require detailed micro-level information.
  • 🔄 Strongly lumpable causal states explain how simplistic models at macro levels can predict future states accurately.
  • 🎵 Fernando Rosas' diverse background from music to philosophy to mathematics enriches his approach to studying complexity.

Key insights

Introduction to Emergence

  • Emergence involves large-scale patterns arising from numerous small interactions, seen in examples like Jupiter’s Great Red Spot and human brain activity.
  • Philosophical confusion about emergence has persisted due to a lack of proper analytical and conceptual tools.

New Framework for Emergence

  • Researchers developed a new theoretical framework that defines emergence as a system organizing into a hierarchy of levels, each functioning independently of the microscopic parts.
  • Using computational mechanics, they identified criteria to determine systems with hierarchical structures of emergence.

Computational Closure

  • Three types of closure explain emergent systems: informational closure (macro-level predictability without micro-level details), causal closure (macro-level interventions don’t rely on micro-level details), and computational closure (macro-level operations are coarse-grained versions of micro-level operations).
  • The ε-machine concept, an optimal state representation method, is pivotal to understanding computational closure within complex systems.

Testing and Examples

  • The hierarchical theory was tested using model systems like random walks in city-like networks and neural networks in machine learning.
  • These tests showed that such systems are highly lumpable, meaning their macro behaviors are predictable regardless of micro-level differences.

Causal Emergence and Its Implications

  • Causal emergence posits that higher-level system behaviors can have more causal influence than their micro-components.
  • This challenges the traditional view that causation only flows from the bottom up and suggests that macroscopic descriptions can minimize micro-level noise.
  • The theory has implications for understanding free will and higher-level causation, suggesting macro systems can drive behaviors independently of lower-level specifics.

Living Systems and Leaky Emergence

  • While some systems show clear hierarchical emergence, others, like living organisms, show “leaky” partial emergence where micro-level details sometimes affect macro-level outcomes.
  • Life seems optimized by this partial emergence, balancing macro-level independence with essential micro-level influences.

Key quotes

  • “Philosophers have long been arguing about emergence, and going round in circles.” — Anil Seth
  • “I fully applaud this idea of making things mathematical.” — Chris Adami
  • “The macroscale is just degrees of freedom that you’ve invented.” — Chris Adami
  • “We’ll have this figured out in five or 10 years.” — Jim Crutchfield
  • “Emergence is like ‘software in the natural world’ running independently of micro-level details.” — Fernando Rosas
This summary contains AI-generated information and may have important inaccuracies or omissions.