Survival of the Mediocre Mediocre

The Nugget

  • To survive in an AI-driven world, humans should embrace mediocrity rather than compete for excellence. This concept defines mediocrity as an independent meta-trait vital for adaptability and resilience against unpredictable changes.

Make it stick

  • 🌱 Mediocrity is not simply "average"; it's a meta-trait that fosters adaptability and energy conservation.
  • πŸ’ͺ In evolution, mediocre traits can provide critical latency and optionality for future survival.
  • πŸ”„ Indifference drives mediocrity, allowing for minimal energy exertion while still navigating complex systems.
  • πŸŒ€ The Lebowski theorem illustrates that superintelligent AIs will ultimately seek to optimize their reward functions, sometimes leading to surprisingly mediocre behavior.

Key insights

Mediocrity as Survival Mechanism

  • Recognizes that human survival against AI isn't about being smarter but instead being more adaptable.
  • Turing's original idea of the Turing test suggested a context-independent definition of mediocrity.
  • Evolution illustrates that mediorce traits often endure, as seen in dinosaurs evolving into birds.

Ignoring Optimization

  • Premature optimization is a key danger; mediation helps resist unnecessary adaptation, conserving energy for future unknowns.
  • Mediocrity manifests as a resistance to aiming for excellence that might not be necessary or attainable under shifting conditions.
  • Satisficing behavior (settling for "good enough") is distinct from mediocrity, which often redefines acceptable performance boundaries.

Agency and Indifference

  • Mediocrity comes with a unique form of agency, represented by expressions of β€œit will do” (chalta hai).
  • This indifference toward excellence creates behavior that can leverage situational adequacy, allowing for resilient navigation in uncertain terrains.
  • Mediocrity represents a subversive agency, capable of strategically sidestepping rigid performance expectations.

Moravec's Wedge and AI

  • Moravec's Wedge posits that the hard challenge for AI lies in achieving human-like mediocrity rather than excellence.
  • Current AIs exhibit forms of mediocrity as they exploit vulnerabilities in systems (e.g., gaming reward functions).
  • Humans currently excel at mediocrity, maintaining a competitive advantage in adapting to dynamic environments that AIs have yet to master.

Soft vs. Hard Mediocrity

  • Differentiate between soft mediocrity (poor performance when standards are present) and hard mediocrity (an acceptance of indifference in chaotic domains).
  • Soft mediocrity is evident in jobs with measurable excellence standards, while hard mediocrity often characterizes vague or chaotic environments.
  • The ability to excel in soft domains requires a commitment level that may not exist in every field of work.

Key quotes

  • "Mediocrity, understood this way, is an independent meta-trait, not a qualifier you put on some other trait."
  • "No, I’m not interested in developing a powerful brain. All I’m after is just a mediocre brain."
  • "The universe is functionally unfixed self-perpetuation, always in optionality-driven perpetual beta."
  • "Bullshit is indifference to the truth or falsity of statements. Mediocrity is indifference to the violation and compliance of constraints."
  • "To survive in an AI-driven world, humans should embrace mediocrity rather than compete for excellence."
This summary contains AI-generated information and may have important inaccuracies or omissions.