The $130B Plan to Replace the U.S.’s Nuclear Missiles | WSJ Equipped

The Nugget

  • The US Air Force is undergoing a $130 billion project to replace its aging minutemen missiles with new sentinel ICBMs, facing challenges in cost overruns, cybersecurity, and real estate acquisitions.

Key quotes

  • "Sentinel, I think, is quite honestly struggling a little bit."
  • "The sentinels tech could potentially be easier to hack than a minutemen missiles."
  • "There's actually a kind of a benefit to that. There's a beauty and simplicity to that because it's really hard to hack an analog system from the 1970s."
  • "The estimates are well over $150 billion. For what purpose, to make us safer? No, won't make us safer at all."
  • "Every presidential administration since the end of the cold war has taken a look and kind of scratched their heads and says, 'Hey, do we really need three different legs of a triad?' And as it turns out, every single administration, after looking at that, comes back and says, 'Well, actually, yes.'"

Key insights

Importance of ICBMs in US' Nuclear Defense Strategy

  • ICBMs form the land leg of the US' nuclear defense strategy alongside submarines in the sea and bombers in the air.
  • The distribution of ICBMs across silos in five states creates a complex targeting problem for adversaries, requiring a large number of weapons to destroy them.

Aging Minutemen Missiles and Replacement with Sentinel ICBMs

  • The minutemen missiles were designed to last 10 years but have been in service for almost 60 years, leading to concerns about reliability.
  • The sentinel ICBMs set to replace them are designed with carbon composite bodies for increased durability and potential for more nuclear warheads, allowing for easier upgrades over their estimated 50-year lifespan.

Challenges in Replacing ICBMs

  • The sentinel program is facing challenges like cost overruns, cybersecurity vulnerabilities, and the complexity of updating silos and communication systems.
  • The need for vast real estate acquisitions for rebuilding modern silos has contributed to the project going over budget and facing scrutiny from the Department of Defense and Congress.

Make it stick

  • 💰 The US Air Force is spending $130 billion to replace aging minutemen missiles with sentinel ICBMs.
  • 🎯 ICBMs, submarines, and bombers form the three legs of the US' nuclear defense strategy.
  • 🛡️ Sentinel ICBMs are designed with carbon composite bodies for increased durability and potential for more warheads.
  • 🌐 Increase in cybersecurity measures and vast real estate acquisitions have added to the challenges of replacing ICBMs.
This summary contains AI-generated information and may have important inaccuracies or omissions.