The myth of the Nordic rehabilitative paradise

The Nugget

  • The myth of the Nordic rehabilitative paradise is debunked: Recidivism rates in Nordic countries are not significantly lower than in the United States, challenging the belief in their superior rehabilitation success.

Make it stick

  • 💡 Recidivism rates are influenced by various external factors beyond prison rehabilitation efforts.
  • 💡 Therapy does not significantly reduce recidivism rates, contrary to common belief.
  • 💡 Prison differences in recidivism rates may be more linked to prisoner composition than actual prison rehabilitation efforts.

Key insights

Recidivism Rates and Factors

  • Recidivism rates depend heavily on the follow-up duration and how recidivism is defined.
  • The composition of sentenced offenders, societal factors, distribution of crime types, and deportation of foreign convicts all affect recidivism rates.
  • Comparing recidivism rates between countries can be challenging due to differences in measurement and societal factors.

Rehabilitation Practices and Therapy

  • The effectiveness of therapy in reducing recidivism rates is not well-supported by evidence.
  • Age, sex, and psychiatric medication for certain disorders like ADHD and psychosis can influence recidivism rates.
  • Broadly applicable interventions that drastically lower recidivism rates on a national level are generally not known or supported by strong evidence.

Comparing Nordic and American Recidivism Rates

  • Nordic recidivism rates, especially in Denmark, Finland, and Sweden, are not exceptionally low as commonly believed.
  • The United States' recidivism rate is comparable to countries like Denmark, Sweden, and Finland when measured closely.
  • Much of the variation in recidivism rates is influenced by factors outside prison rehabilitation efforts.

Key quotes

  • "Recidivism rates are measured very differently depending on jurisdiction and context, making international comparisons challenging."
  • "Therapy is not significantly effective at reducing recidivism rates, contrary to popular belief."
  • "Differences in recidivism rates across prisons may be more about prisoner composition and external factors than prison rehabilitation efforts."
  • "The dream of complete rehabilitation or anything close to it is disappointing given the current evidence."
  • "Comparing recidivism rates between countries must consider the complexities of measurement and societal factors, not just rehabilitation efforts."
This summary contains AI-generated information and may have important inaccuracies or omissions.